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Latest 10-Q filed 11/13/2024 · Compared against 8/13/2024
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ITEM 1A. RISK FACTORS
Our business is subject to risks and events that, if they occur, could adversely affect our financial condition and results of operations and the trading price of our securities. During the nine months ended September 30, 2024, except as set forth below, our risk factors have not changed materially from those risk factors previously disclosed in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2023 (the 2023 10-K). You should carefully consider the risk factors discussed in Part I, Item 1A. Risk Factors in our 2023 10-K. There were risks described below and in our 2023 10-K are not the only risks facing us. Additional risks and uncertainties no mt currently known to us or that we currently deem to be immaterial changealso may materially and adversely affect our business, financial condition and/or operating results.
Operational Risks
Our actual incurred losses may be greater than our loss and loss adjustment expense reserves, which could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition and results of operations.
Insurance companies financial condition and results of operations depend upon their ability to accurately assess the potential losses and loss adjustment expenses under the terms of the insurance policies they underwrite. Reserves do not represent an exact calculation of liability. Rather, reserves represent an estimate of what the expected ultimate settlement and administration of claims will cost, and the ultimate liability may be greater or less to than the current estimate. In the insurance industry, there is always the risk that reserves may prove inadequate as it is possible for insurance companies to underestimate the riskcost of claims. There has been considerable adverse development reported by the Company in recent years.
We base our estimates on our assessment of known factors disclosed s and circumstances, as well as estimates of future trends in claim severity, claim frequency, judicial theories of liability and other factors. These variables are affected by both internal and external events that could increase our exposure to losses, including changes in our Annual Report on actuarial projections, claims handling procedures, inflation, severe weather, climate change, economic and judicial trends, and legislative changes. We continually monitor reserves using new information on reported claims and a variety of statistical techniques to update our current estimate. Our estimates could prove to be inadequate, and this underestimation could have a material adverse effect on our financial strength.
The uncertainties we encounter in establishing our loss reserves include:
For the majority of our policies, we are obligated to pay any covered loss that occurs while the policy is in force. Accordingly, claims may be reported and develop many years after a policy has lapsed;
Even when a claim is received, it may take considerable time to fully appreciate the extent of the covered loss suffered by the insured and, consequently, estimates of loss associated with specific claims can increase over time;
New theories of liability are enforced retroactively from time to time by courts;
Volatility in the financial markets, economic events, weather events and other external factors may result in an increase in the number of claims and the severity of the claims reported. In addition, elevated inflationary conditions would, among other things, drive loss costs to increase;
When we enter new lines of business, or encounter new theories of claims liability, we may encounter an increase in claims frequency and greater claims handling costs than we had anticipated; and
Estimation of IBNR losses is a complex and inherently uncertain process which involves a considerable degree of judgment and expertise, which adds to the overall difficulty of estimating loss reserves.
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If any of our insurance reserves should prove to be inadequate for the reasons discussed above, or for any other reason, we will be required to increase reserves, resulting in a reduction in our net income and shareholders equity in the period in which the deficiency is identified. Such adverse development can result in the unplanned need for additional capital, which may need to be obtained through the sale of assets or additional issuance of common stock or preferred stock which could dilute current shareholder value.
Form ollowing the sale of Conifer Insurance Services (CIS), we distribute our insurance products through only two agents. There can be no assurance that such relationships will continue, or if they do continue, that the relationship will be on favorable terms to us.
Our distribution model has changed drastically since the sale of CIS on August 30, 2024. Our direct relationships with commercial retail and third party wholesale agencies are owned by CIS and our direct relationships with homeowners retail and third party wholesale agencies are owned by Sycamore Specialty Underwriters (SSU). Upon the sale of CIS and the sale of our 50% ownership interest in SSU on August 30, 2024, we no longer have any control or ability to direct relationships with the retail or third party wholesale agencies.
In addition, we already only receive a small amount of commercial business from CIS, and expect any remaining business in CIS to ultimately be transferred to another insurer. Our current plan is to write substantially only homeowners insurance going forward, and we will be relying entirely on just one agent for that premium channel. CIS and SSU have the full independent right to move their business to other insurers. They are not obligated to sell or promote our products and may sell or promote competitors insurance products in addition to our products.
Some of our competitors have financial strength ratings whereas we withdrew our participation from financial strength rating agencies, offer a larger variety of products, set lower prices for insurance coverage and/or offer higher commissions than we do. Therefore, even if SSU would like to use our Insurance Company Subsidiaries, SSU may not be able to continue to attract and retain independent agents to sell our insurance products. Even if the relationships do continue, they may not be on terms that are profitable for us. The termination of a relationship with one or more significant agents could result in lower premium revenue and could have a material adverse effect on our results of operations or business prospects.
We will no longer have non risk-bearing agency revenue and must rely almost entirely on insurance premium revenue generated from our Insurance Company Subsidiaries.
With the Sale of CIS, our only significant source of revenues will be from earned premiums in our Insurance Company Subsidiaries. This is at a time when we are significantly restricted by the amount of premiums we can write due to a lack of sufficient regulatory capital in our Insurance Company Subsidiaries (see Legal and Regulatory Risks). Our Insurance Company Subsidiaries are no longer rated by A.M. Best or Kroll (see Rating Agency Risks) which may impact their ability to sustain premium volume. With limited options for generating other revenue, there is a risk that insufficient premium volume will have an adverse impact on underwriting profits and our financial condition and results of operations could be materially and adversely affected.
We are now relying entirely on agency billed premiums which subjects us to their credit risk.
As of August 30, 2024, all of the business that we write is produced by agents who handle all of the billings and collections. Accordingly, all of our premiums are first collected directly by the agents and forwarded to our Insurance Company Subsidiaries. In certain jurisdictions, when the insured pays its policy premium to these agents for payment on behalf of our Insurance Company Subsidiaries, the premiums might be considered to have been paid under applicable insurance laws and regulations. Accordingly, the insured would no longer be liable to us for those amounts, whether or not we have actually received the premiums from that agent. Consequently, we assume a degree of credit risk associated with agents. There may be instances where agents collect premiums but do not remit them to us and we may be required to provide the coverage set forth in the policy despite the absence of premiums. If we are unable to collect premiums from agents, underwriting profits may decline and our financial condition and results of operations could be materially and adversely affected.
Significant staff reduction and heavy reliance on third party vendors increases operational risks and may adversely impact our results of operations, reporting abilities and reputation.
Approximately 67 of our 77 employees conveyed with the sale of CIS, including the entire underwriting, claims, and information technology teams. We now rely on services agreements for CIS, as a third party vendor, to manage our claims, policy issuance and collections, as well as maintaining the policy management and claims systems. Undergoing such a large change in operations and staff reduction could generate skill and resource limitations within the remaining internal staff. This could result in more significant operational errors and a diminished control environment.
We are exposed to many types of operational risk, including the risk of fraud by employees and outsiders, clerical and recordkeeping which can be heightened when third party vendors are heavily relied upon. Third parties with whom we do business, including vendors that provide services or security solutions for our operations, could be sources of operational and
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information security risk to us, including from breakdowns, failures, or capacity constraints of their own systems or employees. Any of these occurrences could diminish our ability to operate our business, or cause financial loss, potential liability to insureds, inability to secure insurance, reputational damage or regulatory intervention, which could materially adversely affect us.
An increased inflation rate or a period of sustained inflation may adversely impact our results of operations.
Inflation may negatively impact both interest rates and the amount we pay to settle claims. We take into account the effects of inflation when we set our prices; however, if we are unsuccessful in adequately accounting for inflation through our pricing and underwriting modifications, our results of operations may be negatively impacted. We may find that increasing our prices to address inflation results in a loss of business if the competition does not increase their prices commensurately. We also consider inflation when we estimate reserves for unpaid losses and LAE, because of the increase on our claims costs that is caused by inflation. While we attempt to mitigate the effects of inflation, the actual effects of inflation on results of operations are not known until claims are ultimately settled. In addition to general price inflation, we are also exposed to the upward trend in the judicial awards for damages.
Severe weather conditions and other catastrophes are inherently unpredictable and may have a material adverse effect on our financial results and financial condition.
Our insurance operations expose us to claims arising from unpredictable catastrophe events, such as earthquakes, hurricanes, tornadoes, windstorms, floods and other severe events. We have incurred losses from catastrophe events in our history and we may incur significant losses from future catastrophe events. Significant losses from severe weather is not limited to catastrophes. A high frequency of typical convective storm activity over the course of a summer can generate just as many losses as one hurricane. The actual occurrence, frequency and magnitude of such events are uncertain. Over the past several years, changing weather patterns and climatic conditions, such as global warming, have added to the unpredictability and frequency of natural disasters in certain parts of the world, including the markets in which we operate. Climate change may increase the frequency and severity of extreme weather events. This effect has led to conditions in the ocean and atmosphere, including warmer-than-average sea-surface temperatures and low wind shear that increase hurricane activity. Hurricane activity typically increases between June and November of each year, though the actual occurrence and magnitude of such events is uncertain. The occurrence of a natural disaster or other catastrophe loss could materially adversely affect our business, financial condition, and results of operations.
The extent of losses from catastrophes is a function of both the frequency and severity of the insured events and the total amount of insured exposure in the areas affected. The frequency and severity of catastrophes are inherently unpredictable and the occurrence of one catastrophe does not make the occurrence of another catastrophe more or less likely. Increases in the replacement cost of insured property due to higher material and labor costs, increases in concentrations of insured property, the effects of inflation, and changes in cyclical weather patterns may increase the severity of claims from catastrophe events in the future. Claims from catastrophe events could reduce our earnings and cause substantial volatility in our results of operations for any fiscal quarter or year, which could materially adversely affect our financial condition, possibly to the extent of eliminating our total stockholders equity. Our ability to underwrite new insurance policies could also be materially adversely impacted as a result of corresponding reductions in our capital. In addition, a natural disaster could materially impact the financial condition of our policyholders, resulting in loss of premiums.
We may also find reinsurance costs to go up or general reinsurance capacity to be negatively affected following a single large catastrophe or multiple smaller events. Our inability to obtain reinsurance coverage at reasonable rates and in amounts adequate to mitigate the risks associated with severe weather conditions and other catastrophes could have a material adverse effect on our business and results of operations.
Catastrophe models may not accurately predict future losses.
Along with other insurers in the industry, we use models developed by third-party vendors in assessing our exposure to catastrophe losses that assume various conditions and probability scenarios. However, these models do not necessarily accurately predict future losses or accurately measure losses currently incurred. Catastrophe models, which have been evolving since the early 10-990s, use historical information about various catastrophes and detailed information about our business. While we use this information in connection with our pricing and risk management activities, there are limitations with respect to their usefulness in predicting losses in any reporting period. Examples of these limitations are significant variations in estimates between models and modelers and material increases and decreases in model results due to changes and refinements of the underlying data elements and assumptions. Such limitations lead to questionable predictive capability and post-event measurements that have not been well understood or proven to be sufficiently reliable. In addition, the models are not necessarily reflective of company or state-specific policy language, demand surge for labor and materials or loss settlement expenses, all of which are subject to wide variation by catastrophe. Because the occurrence and severity of catastrophes are
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inherently unpredictable and may vary significantly from year to year, historical results of operations may not be indicative of future results of operations.
Changes in our management structure and in senior leadership could affect our business and financial results.
As of August 30, 2024, Brian Roney, President, succeeded Nicholas Petcoff as our chief executive officer. Leadership transitions can be difficult to manage and may cause disruptions to our operations. A leadership transition may also increase the likelihood of turnover among our employees and result in changes in our business strategy, which may create uncertainty and negatively impact our ability to execute our business strategy quickly and effectively. Leadership transitions may also impact our relationships with customers and other market participants, and create uncertainty among investors, employees, and others concerning our future direction and performance. Any significant disruption, uncertainty or change in business strategy could adversely affect our business, operating results and financial condition.
Litigation and legal proceedings against our Insurance Company Subsidiaries could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition and/or results of operations.
As an insurance holding company, our Insurance Company Subsidiaries are named as defendants in various legal actions in the ordinary course of business. We believe that the outcome of presently pending matters, individually and in the aggregate, will not have a material adverse effect on our consolidated financial position, operating results or liquidity. However, the outcomes of lawsuits cannot be predicted and, if determined adversely, could require us to pay significant damage amounts or to change aspects of our operations, which could have a material adverse effect on our financial results. In addition, a significant volume of customer complaints or litigation could adversely affect our brand and reputation, regardless of whether such allegations are valid or whether we are liable. Accordingly, we cannot predict with any certainty whether we will be involved in such litigation in the future or what impact such litigation would have on our business.
Our failure to accurately and timely pay claims could materially and adversely affect our business, financial condition and results of operations.
We must accurately and timely evaluate and pay claims that are made under our policies. Many factors affect our ability to pay claims accurately and timely, including the training and experience of our claims representatives, our claims organizations culture, our ability to develop or select and implement appropriate procedures and systems to support our claims functions and other factors. Our failure to pay claims accurately and timely could lead to regulatory and administrative actions or material litigation, undermine our reputation in the marketplace and materially and adversely affect our business, financial condition and results of operations.
Our geographic concentration ties our performance to the business, economic, natural perils, man-made perils, catastrophes, severe weather and regulatory conditions within our most concentrated region.
Our revenues and profitability are subject to the prevailing regulatory, legal, economic, political, demographic, competitive, weather and other conditions in the principal states in which we do business. Changes in any of these conditions could make it less attractive for us to do business in such states and would have a more pronounced effect on us compared to companies that are more geographically diversified. In addition, our exposure to severe losses from localized perils, such as earthquakes, hurricanes, tropical storms, tornadoes, wind, ice storms, hail, fires, terrorism, riots and explosions, is increased in those areas where we have written significant numbers of insurance policies.
The incidence and severity of catastrophes or severe weather are inherently unpredictable, and it is possible that both the frequency and severity of natural and man-made catastrophic events could increase. Severe weather events over the last two decades have underscored the unpredictability of climate trends. For example, the frequency and/or severity of hurricane, tornado, hail and wildfire events in the United States have been more volatile during this time period. Climate studies by government agencies, academic institutions, catastrophe modeling organizations and other groups indicate that an increase in the frequency and/or intensity of hurricanes, heavy precipitation events and associated river, urban and flash flooding, sea level rise, droughts, heat waves and wildfires has occurred, and can be expected into the future.
Moreover, regions in and around the southeastern U.S. commonly experience hurricanes and other extreme weather conditions. As a result, certain of our insureds, especially those in Texas, are susceptible to physical damage from an active hurricane season or increased frequency of less severe storms. Adverse climate conditions could increase the intensity of individual hurricanes or the number of hurricanes that occur each year. We have experienced and may in the future experience a considerable increase in our insurance claims due to property damages in storm-affected areas. Because of the risks set forth above, catastrophes or an increase in the frequency of less severe storm activity could materially and adversely affect our results of operations, financial position and/or liquidity. Further, we may not have sufficient resources to respond to claims arising from a high frequency of high-severity natural catastrophes and/or of man-made catastrophic events.
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Liquidity Risks
The sale of our insurance agency operations will cause a significant decline in our revenue and adversely affect our financial performance and liquidity.
On August 30, 2024 (the Closing Date), the Company, completed its sale of CIS to BSU Leaf Holdings LLC, a Delaware limited liability company (Buyer), pursuant to the Interest Purchase Agreement, dated as of the Closing Date (the CIS Agreement), by and among the Company, Buyer and Buyers parent (the CIS Sale). As a result of the CIS Sale, the Company expects a significant decline in revenue which may adversely impact our financial performance and liquidity.
Part of the gain on the sale of CIS is $8.0 million of contingent considerations that we may not receive which would reduce anticipated future liquidity.
We have recorded an asset on our Consolidated Balance Sheet of $8.0 million which reflects the estimated fair value of two contingent considerations we may receive if CIS meets certain revenue hurdles in the future. We cannot be certain that we will receive either of these payments. If we do not receive these payments our assets and shareholders equity would be reduced by $8.0 million and it may impair our ability to pay down debt.
We may not be able to extend or repay our indebtedness owed to our lenders, which would have a material adverse effect on our financial condition and ability to continue as a going concern.
At maturity, the entire outstanding principal amount of our 9.75% Senior Notes due on September 30, 2028 (the New Public Notes) will become due and payable. We may not have sufficient funds or may be unable to arrange for additional financing to pay the repurchase price of the New Public Notes or the principal amount due at maturity. Any future borrowing arrangements or debt agreements to which we become a party may contain restrictions on or prohibitions against our redemption or repurchase of the New Public Notes. If we are prohibited from redeeming or repurchasing the New Public Notes, we could try to obtain the consent of lenders under those arrangements, or we could attempt to refinance the borrowings that contain the restrictions. If we do not obtain the necessary consents or refinance the borrowings, we will be unable to repurchase the New Public Notes. Such a failure would constitute an event of default under the Indenture, dated as of September 24, 2018, as amended and supplemented by a supplemental indenture (the Indenture), which could, in turn, constitute a default under the terms of our other indebtedness, which would have a material adverse effect on our financial condition and ability to continue as a going concern.
Any debt service obligations will reduce the funds available for other business purposes, and the terms and covenants relating to our current and future indebtedness could adversely impact our financial performance and liquidity.
As of September 30, 2024, the Company had $17.9 million of New Public Notes outstanding. See Note 8 ~ Debt for additional details. We are subject to risks typically associated with debt financing, such as insufficient cash flow to meet required debt service payment obligations.
Our ability to make payments on our indebtedness is subject to general economic, financial, competitive, legislative, regulatory and other factors that are beyond our control. If we are unable to generate sufficient cash flow to service our debt and meet our other commitments, we may need to restructure or refinance all or a portion of our debt, sell material assets or operations or raise additional debt or equity capital. We may not be able to effect any of these actions on a timely basis, on commercially reasonable terms or at all, and these actions may not be sufficient to meet our capital requirements. In addition, the terms of our existing or future debt arrangements may restrict us from effecting any of these alternatives which could cause significant disruption to our operations, including a requirement to immediately repay our indebtedness. The occurrence of any of these events would have severe adverse effects on our liquidity and financial flexibility.
Legal and Regulatory Risks
Our Insurance Company Subsidiaries are subject to minimum capital and surplus requirements. Failure to meet these requirements could subject us to regulatory action.
Our Insurance Company Subsidiaries are subject to minimum capital and surplus requirements imposed under the laws of their respective states of domicile and each state in which they issue policies. Any failure by one of our Insurance Company Subsidiaries to meet minimum capital and surplus requirements will subject it to corrective action. This may include requiring the adoption of a comprehensive financial plan, revocation of its license to sell insurance products or placing the subsidiary under state regulatory control. It may also result in our Insurance Company Subsidiaries being limited in their ability to make a dividend to us and could be a factor in causing rating agencies to downgrade our ratings. Any new minimum capital and surplus requirements adopted in the future may require us to increase the capital and surplus of our Insurance Company Subsidiaries, which we may not be able to do.
As of December 31, 2023, CIC fell within the Company Action Level and WPIC fell within the Regulatory Action Level of the RBC formula. WPIC also fell below two other regulatory thresholds which are necessary to stay in compliance.
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Management was required to provide a plan to its domiciliary regulator that showed how the Insurance Company Subsidiaries will get above the minimum level requirements. As part of this plan, management significantly decreased its writings in CIC and stopped writing all premiums in WPIC. Management believes that, with a combination of the reduced writings and capital support provided by proceeds from the sales of CIS and SSU, the Company will have sufficient capital to bring the Insurance Company Subsidiaries back into compliance by December 31, 2024. However, in the event there are losses in excess of expectations, it may take longer and more capital than expected to bring both insurance companies back into full compliance. This could require an additional reduction in premium volume and adversely impact underwriting results, our liquidity and ability to repay debt.
Rating Agency Risks
Withdrawing our participation from rating agencies may result in an adverse effect on our business, financial condition and operating results.
Participants in the insurance industry use ratings from independent ratings agencies, such as A.M. Best Company, Inc. (A.M. Best) and K (Item 1A roll Bond Rating Agency (Kroll) as an important means of assessing the financial strength and quality of insurers. In setting their ratings, A.M. Best and Kroll utilize a quantitative and qualitative analysis of a companys balance sheet strength, operating performance and business profile. These analyses include comparisons to peers and industry standards as well as assessments of operating plans, philosophy and management. For A.M. Best, the ratings range from A++, or superior, to F for in liquidation. Krolls ratings range from AAA (extremely strong) to R (under regulatory supervision).
On March 25, 2024, Kroll downgraded the financial strength ratings of CIC and WPIC. Kroll has given CIC an insurance financial strength rating of BB- with a negative outlook. Kroll has given WPIC an insurance financial strength rating of B with a negative outlook. A BB- and a B rating indicates that the insurers financial condition is low quality. Concurrently, the Company withdrew its participation from the rating process, and shall be non-rated by Kroll going forward.
On March 14, 2024, A.M. Best downgraded the financial strength ratings of CIC and WPIC to C. A rating of C means A.M. Best considers both companies to have a weak ability to meet ongoing financial obligations. Concurrently, the Company withdrew its participation from the rating process, and shall be non-rated by A.M. Best going forward.
Claims-paying and financial strength ratings are important to an insurers competitive position. Our withdrawal of our participation from A.M. Best and Krolls financial strength rating could have a material adverse effect on our liquidity, operating results and financial condition and result in any of the following consequences, among others:
cause current and future distribution partners and insureds to choose other competitors;
cause reputational damage to us among customers and insurance agents,
negatively impact our business volumes;
negatively affect our ability to implement our business strategy successfully;
prevent lenders or reinsurance companies from conducting business with us;
increase our interest or reinsurance costs;
make it more difficult or costly for us to access the capital markets or borrow money; and
severely limit or prevent the writing of new and renewal of insurance contracts.
General Risk Factors
The price of our common stock is highly volatile and a limited public float and low trading volume for our shares may have an adverse impact on the share price or make it difficult to liquidate.
The trading price of our common stock is highly volatile and could be subject to wide fluctuations in response to various factors, some of which are beyond our control and may not be related to our operating performance. These fluctuations could be significant and could cause a loss in the amount invested in our shares of common stock.
In addition, the stock market in general, and the market for insurance companies in particular, has experienced extreme price and volume fluctuations that have often been unrelated or disproportionate to the operating performance of those companies. At times, securities class action litigation has been instituted against companies following periods of volatility in the overall market and in the market price of a companys securities. This litigation, if instituted against us, could result in substantial costs, divert our managements attention and resources, and harm our business, operating results, and financial condition.
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Furthermore, the book value per share reflected in our financial statements, which have been prepared in accordance with generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) filed with the SEC on April 1, may not represent the amount that shareholders would receive if the Company were liquidated or sold.
The book value per share is calculated based on the historical cost of our assets, less accumulated depreciation and liabilities. This value does not account for the current market conditions, potential future earnings or expenses, or the fair market value of our assets and liabilities. As a result, the book value per share may differ significantly from the actual proceeds that could be realized in a liquidation or sale.
Several factors contribute to this discrepancy, including market conditions, intangible assets, depreciation and amortization, contingent liabilities, and transaction costs.
As a result of these factors, investors in our common stock may not be able to resell their shares at or above their purchase price or may not be able to resell them at all. These market and industry factors may materially reduce the market price of our common stock, regardless of our operating performance. In addition, price volatility may be greater if the public float and the trading volume of our common stock remain low.
Our common stock may be delisted from The Nasdaq Stock Market if we cannot maintain compliance with Nasdaqs continued listing requirements.
On August 16, 2024, the Company received written notice from the Listing Qualifications Department of The Nasdaq Stock Market LLC (Nasdaq) stating that the Company no longer complies with the minimum stockholders equity requirement under Nasdaq Listing Rule 5550(b)(1) for continued listing on The Nasdaq Capital Market (the Minimum Stockholders Equity Requirement) because the Companys stockholders equity, as reported in the Companys Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the second quarter ended June 30, 2024, had fallen below $2.5 million. As a result of the Sale of CIS, Nasdaq issued a conditional compliance letter on September 13, 2024.
As of September 30, 2024, our stockholders equity was $49.1 million, and as of the date of this Quarterly Report, the Company believes it satisfies the Minimum Stockholders Equity Requirement. Nasdaq will continue to monitor the Companys ongoing compliance with the Minimum Stockholders Equity Requirement and, if this Quarterly Report does not evidence compliance with Minimum Stockholders Equity Requirement, the Company may be subject to delisting. There can be no assurance that the Company will be able to maintain compliance with the Minimum Stockholders Equity Requirement or any other of Nasdaqs continued listing requirements.
Additionally, Nasdaq Listing Rule 5550(a)(2) requires that, for continued listing on The Nasdaq Capital Market, we must maintain a minimum bid price of $1 per share (the Minimum Bid Price Requirement). As of September 30, 2024. , the closing price of our common stock was $1.09. There can also be no assurance that our stock price will meet the Minimum Bid Price Requirement or that we will maintain compliance with any other of Nasdaqs continued listing requirements.
If we fail to satisfy the continued listing requirements of The Nasdaq Capital Market, Nasdaq may take steps to delist our common stock, which could have a materially adverse effect on our ability to raise additional funds as well as the price and liquidity of our common stock. Such a delisting would likely have a negative effect on the price of our common stock and would impair our stockholders ability to sell or purchase our common stock when they wish to do so. In the event of a delisting, we can provide no assurance that any action taken by us to restore compliance with listing requirements would allow our common stock to become listed again, stabilize the market price or improve the liquidity of our common stock, prevent our common stock from dropping below the Nasdaq Minimum Bid Price Requirement, prevent our stockholders equity from dropping below the Minimum Stockholders Equity Requirement or prevent future non-compliance with The Nasdaq Capital Markets listing requirements.
We may require additional capital in the future, which may not be available or may only be available on unfavorable terms.
Our future capital requirements depend on many factors, including our ability to sell third party insurance products under our commercial lines business as well as grow premium volume and underwrite the personal lines business profitably. To the extent that our existing capital is insufficient, we may need to raise additional capital in the future through offerings of debt or equity securities or otherwise to:
Fund liquidity needs caused by underwriting or investment losses;
Replace capital lost in the event of significant losses or adverse reserve development;
Satisfy letters of credit or guarantee bond requirements that may be imposed by our clients or by regulators;
Meet regulatory capital requirements; or
Respond to competitive pressures.
Additionally, since the Company is no longer rated by Kroll or A.M. Best, following the Companys withdrawal from the rating process, the absence of credit ratings on our outstanding securities could impact our ability to obtain additional debt or
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hybrid capital at reasonable terms or at all. Credit ratings are an opinion by third parties of our financial strength and ability to meet ongoing obligations to our future policyholders. The lack of a credit rating may make it difficult for investors to evaluate an investment in our securities and for us to raise additional capital in the future on acceptable terms or at all.
Any equity or debt financing, if available at all, may be on terms that are unfavorable to us. Furthermore, any additional capital raised through the sale of equity could dilute your ownership interest in the Company and may cause the value of our shares to decline. Additional capital raised through the issuance of debt may result in creditors having rights, preferences and privileges senior or otherwise superior to those of the holders of our shares and may limit our flexibility in operating our business and make it more difficult to obtain capital in the future. Disruptions, uncertainty, or volatility in the capital and credit markets may also limit our access to capital required to operate our business. If we are not able to obtain adequate capital, our business, financial condition and results of operations could be materially adversely affected.
Our principal shareholders and management own a significant percentage of our stock and are able to exert significant control over matters subject to shareholder approval.
As of September 30, 2024, our executive officers, directors, 5% shareholders and their affiliates owned approximately 66.9% of our voting stock. Therefore, these shareholders have the ability to influence us through their ownership position. These shareholders may be able to significantly influence all matters requiring shareholder approval. For example, these shareholders may be able to significantly influence elections of directors, amendments of our organizational documents, or approval of any merger, sale of assets, or other major corporate transaction. This may prevent or discourage unsolicited acquisition proposals or offers for our common stock that you may feel are in your best interest as one of our shareholders.
In addition, our 2015 Omnibus Incentive Plan permits the Board or a committee thereof to accelerate, vest or cause the restrictions to lapse with respect to outstanding equity awards, in the event of, or immediately prior to, a change in control. Such vesting or acceleration could discourage the acquisition of our Company.
We could also become subject to certain antitakeover provisions under Michigan law which may discourage, delay or prevent someone from acquiring us or merging with us, whether or not an acquisition or merger is desired by or beneficial to our shareholders. If a corporations board of directors chooses to opt in to certain provisions of Michigan Law, such corporation may not, in general, engage in a business combination with any beneficial owner, directly or indirectly, of 10% of the corporations outstanding voting shares unless the holder has held the shares for five years or more or, among other things, the board of directors has approved the business combination. Our Board has not elected to be subject to this provision, but could do so in the future. Any provision of our amended and restated articles of incorporation or bylaws or Michigan law that has the effect of delaying or deterring a change in control could limit the opportunity for our shareholders to receive a premium for their shares, and could also affect the price that some investors are willing to pay for our common stock otherwise.
Our ability to meet our obligations on our outstanding debt, including making principal and interest payments on the New Public Notes, may be limited by our holding company structure and regulatory constraints restricting dividends or other distributions by our Insurance Company Subsidiaries.
We are a holding company that transacts the majority of our business through our Insurance Company Subsidiaries and, as a result, our principal sources of funds are payments from our Insurance Company Subsidiaries, including intercompany service fees and dividends. Our ability to meet our obligations on our outstanding debt obligations, including making principal and interest payments on the New Public Notes, depends on continuing to receive sufficient funds from our Insurance Company Subsidiaries. We have met our outstanding debt obligations primarily through intercompany service fees we receive. We may also use dividends from our Insurance Company Subsidiaries, however, insurance regulations limit such dividend payments. As a result, our ability to use dividends as a source of funds to meet our debt obligations may be significantly limited. Any significant reduction in the intercompany service fees we receive, and any regulatory and other limitations on the payment of dividends to us by our Insurance Company Subsidiaries, may adversely affect our ability to pay interest on the New Public Notes as it comes due and the principal of the New Public Notes at their maturity.
Although the New Public Notes are currently listed on Nasdaq, the trading market for the New Public Notes may be limited, which could affect the market price of the New Public Notes or your ability to sell them.
Although the New Public Notes are currently listed on Nasdaq, we cannot provide any assurances that it will remain on Nasdaq or that an active trading market will exist for the New Public Notes or that you will be able to sell your New Public Notes. The New Public Notes may trade at a discount to their face value depending on access to markets, prevailing interest rates, the market for similar securities, our credit ratings, general economic conditions, our financial condition, performance and prospects and other factors. We cannot assure you that a liquid trading market will be available for the New Public Notes, that you will be able to sell the New Public Notes at a particular time or that the price you receive when you sell will be favorable. To the extent an active trading market does not exist, the liquidity and trading price for the New Public Notes may be harmed.
We may not be able to make payments on the New Public Notes.
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We may be unable to pay the principal and interest on the New Public Notes which will substantially decrease the market value of the New Public Notes. If we are unable to generate sufficient cash flow and are otherwise unable to obtain funds necessary to meet required payments of principal and interest on the New Public Notes, or if we otherwise fail to comply with the various covenants, including certain operating covenants, we could be in default under the terms of the agreements governing the New Public Notes. In the event of such default, the holders of the New Public Notes could elect to declare all the funds borrowed thereunder to be due and payable, together with accrued and unpaid interest.
There are limited financial covenants in the Indenture relating to our New Public Notes.
The Indenture does not restrict us or our Insurance Company Subsidiaries from incurring additional debt or other liabilities. If we incur additional debt or liabilities, our ability to pay the obligations on the New Public Notes could be adversely affected.
Our indebtedness, including the indebtedness we or our Insurance Company Subsidiaries may incur in the future, could have important consequences for the holders of the New Public Notes, including:
limiting our ability to satisfy our obligations with respect to the New Public Notes;
increasing our vulnerability to general adverse economic and industry conditions;
limiting our ability to obtain additional financing to fund future working capital, capital expenditures, and other general corporate requirements;
requiring a substantial portion of our cash flow from operations for the payment of principal of, and interest on, our indebtedness and thereby reducing our ability to use our cash flow to fund working capital, capital expenditures and general corporate requirements; and
limiting our flexibility in planning for, or reacting to, changes in our business and the industry; and putting us at a disadvantage compared to competitors with less indebtedness.
In addition, we have limited restrictions under the Indenture from granting security interests in our assets, paying dividends or issuing or repurchasing securities. Moreover, the Indenture does not require us to maintain any financial ratios or specific levels of net worth, revenues, income, cash flow or liquidity and, accordingly, does not protect holders of the New Public Notes in the event that we experience material adverse changes in our financial condition or results of operations. Holders of the New Public Notes have limited protection under the Indenture in the event of a highly leveraged transaction, reorganization, default under our existing indebtedness, restructuring, merger or similar transaction.
For these reasons, you should not consider the covenants in the Indenture a significant factor in evaluating whether to invest in the New Public Notes.
The New Public Notes are structurally subordinated to any future indebtedness and other liabilities of our Insurance Company Subsidiaries.
The New Public Notes are obligations exclusively of Conifer Holdings, Inc. and not of any of our Insurance Company Subsidiaries. None of our Insurance Company Subsidiaries is a guarantor of the New Public Notes and the New Public Notes are not guaranteed by any subsidiary we may acquire or create in the future. Any assets of our Insurance Company Subsidiaries will not be directly available to satisfy the claims of our creditors, including holders of the New Public Notes. The New Public Notes are structurally subordinated to all future indebtedness and other liabilities of any of our Insurance Company Subsidiaries and any subsidiary that we may in the future acquire or establish. Our Insurance Company Subsidiaries may incur substantial indebtedness in the future, all of which would be structurally senior to the New Public Notes.
Volatility in the market price and trading volume of our common stock could adversely impact the trading price of the New Public Notes.
The market price of our common stock could fluctuate significantly for many reasons, including in response to the risks described in this section or any number of our financial filings or disclosures or for reasons unrelated to our operations, such as reports by industry analysts, investor perceptions or negative announcements by our customers, competitors or suppliers regarding their own performance, as well as industry conditions and general financial, economic and political instability. A decrease in the market price of our common stock could adversely impact the trading price of the New Public Notes.
We may redeem the New Public Notes before maturity, and holders of the redeemed New Public Notes may be unable to reinvest the proceeds at the same or a higher rate of return.
We may redeem all or a portion of the New Public Notes. If redemption does occur, holders of the redeemed New Public Notes may be unable to reinvest the money received in the redemption at a rate that is equal to or higher than the rate of return on the New Public Notes.
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