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Item 1A. Risk Factors.
Our business is subject to risks and events that, if they occur, could adversely affect our financial condition and results of operations and the trading price of our securities. In addition to the other information set forth in this Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q, you should carefully consider the factors described in Part I, Item 1A. Risk Factors of our Annual Report for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2024, filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on February 26, 2025.
Healthcare legislative or regulatory reRisks Related to the Development of our Product Candidates
Interim top-line and preliminary results from our clinical trials that we announce or publish from time to time may change as more patient data become available and are subject to audit and verification procedures that could result in material changes in the final data.
From time to time, we may publish interim top-line or preliminary results from our clinical trials. Interim results from clinical trials that we may complete are subject to the risk that one or more of the clinical outcomes may materially change as patient enrollment continues and more patient data become available. Preliminary or top-line results also remain subject to audit and verification procedures that may result in the final data being materially different from the preliminary data we previously published. As a result, interim and preliminary data should be viewed with caution until the final data are available. For example, in May 2025, we announced clinical data from adult/adolescent and pediatric patients treated in the Phase 1/2 REVEAL trials of TSHA-102. However, those observations may not endure as patients continue their follow-up visits as part of the trial. Initial clinical observations also may not translate into success on primary endpoints of the REVEAL trial. Differences between preliminary or interim data and final data could significantly harm our business prospects and may cause the trading price of our common stock to fluctuate significantly.
Further, others, including regulatory authorities, may not accept or agree with our assumptions, estimates, calculations, conclusions or analyses or may interpret or weigh the importance of data differently, which could impact the approvability or commercialization of the particular product candidate or product and our business in general. In addition, the information we choose to publicly disclose regarding a particular study or clinical trial is based on what is typically extensive information, and you or others may not agree with what we determine is the material or otherwise appropriate inform measures may have a negatiation to include in our disclosure, and any information we determine not to disclose may ultimately be deemed significant with respect to future decisions, conclusions, views, activities or otherwise regarding a particular drug, product candidate or our business. If the top-line data that we report differ from actual results, or if others, including regulatory authorities, disagree with the conclusions reached, our ability to obtain approval for and commercialize any of our product candidates, our business, operating results, prospects or financial condition may be harmed.
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We are substantially dependent on the success of our lead product candidate, TSHA-102. There is no guarantee that we will be able to successfully deve impact on our business and results of operations.
lop and commercialize TSHA-102. If we are unable to complete development of, obtain regulatory approval for and commercialize TSHA-102 in one or more indications and in a timely manner, our business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects will be significantly harmed.
We are substantially dependent on the success of our lead product candidate, TSHA-102, which is currently our sole product candidate in clinical development. We are still developing TSHA-102 and it cannot be marketed or sold in the United States or in foreign markets until regulatory approval has been obtained from the FDA or applicable foreign regulatory agencies. The process of obtaining regulatory approval is expensive and time consuming. The FDA and foreign regulatory authorities may never approve TSHA-102 for sale and marketing, and even if TSHA-102 is ultimately approved, regulatory approval may be delayed or limited in the United States or in other jurisdictions. Even if we are authorized to sell and market TSHA-102 in one or more markets, there is no assurance that we will be able to successfully market TSHA-102 or that TSHA-102 will achieve market acceptance sufficient to generate profits. If we are unable to successfully develop and commercialize TSHA-102 due to failure to obtain regulatory approval for TSHA-102, to successfully market TSHA-102, to generate profits from the sale of TSHA-102, or due to other risk factors outlined in this report, it would have material adverse effects on our business, financial condition, and results of operations.
In tOctober 2022, we entered into the United States and some foreign Option Agreement, pursuant to which we granted the Rett Option to Astellas. Subject to certain limited extensions, Astellas may exercise the Rett Option through the Rett Option Period, following Astellas receipt of the Rett Data Package. We delivered the Rett Data Package to Astellas in mid-2025. Under the Option Agreement, Astellas must decide whether to exercise the Rett Option within 90 days after Astellas receipt of the Rett Data Package, which would then trigger a good faith negotiation period. Under the Option Agreement, we also granted to Astellas certain rights with respect to a change of control of our company during the Rett Option Period. These rights include, but are not limited to, a right of first offer in the event that we receive an offer or proposal from a third party that would result in a change of control, and we have agreed to (A) not solicit or encourage any inquiries, offers or proposals for, or that could reasonably be expected to lead to, a change of control, or (B) otherwise initiate a process for a potential change of control, in each case, without first notifying Astellas and offering Astellas the opportunity to submit an offer or proposal to us for a transaction that would result in a change of control. If Astellas fails or declines to submit any such offer within a specified period after the receipt of such notice, we will have the ability to solicit third party bids for a change of control transaction. In addition, we have agreed that if, during the Rett Option Period, Astellas submits an offer for a transaction that would result in a change of control of our company, we will negotiate with Astellas in good faith the potential terms and conditions of such a transaction for 45 days. If we are unable to mutually agree on such terms, such right of first offer will expire.
Because we are substantially dependent on TSHA-102, which is our sole product candidate in clinical development, we believe that if Astellas exercises the Rett Option, such exclusive license of TSHA-102 would constitute a sale of substantially all of the assets of our company, which would result in a change of control requiring stockholder approval. It is possible that Astellas will not exercise the Rett Option. If Astellas does exercise the Rett Option, Astellas may not agree with our assessment that the exercise of the Rett Option for the exclusive license of TSHA-102 would result in a change of control, and we cannot predict whether or how the parties would resolve such dispute. While it is inherently difficult to assess the potential outcome of any such dispute, we may be exposed to additional risks as a result, including, but not limited to, reputational harm and litigation, and we can provide no assurances that we will prevail in any such litigation. If Astellas exercises the Rett option and it were determined that such exclusive license does not constitute a sale of substantially all of the assets of our company, and the exercise of the Rett Option is not an offer that would result in a change of control, under the Option Agreement, the parties are obligated to negotiate the terms of the license agreement in good faith for a period of 130 days. If the parties are unable to mutually agree on such terms within 120 days, the terms of such license agreement may, at Astellas discretion, be determined by baseball arbitration, wherein each party is required to submit a proposed final license agreement to the arbitrators, and the arbitrators are required to select one of the proposed license agreements without modification. Given our substantial reliance on TSHA-102, if we enter into a license agreement for TSHA-102 and we are unable to develop other product candidates at that time, it could have a material adverse effect on our business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects, including, but not limited to, the potential cessation of our operations or the need to begin development of any of our preclinical programs.
We have not yet completed testing of any product candidate in clinical trials. Success in preclinical studies or earlier clinical trials, including our Phase 1/2 REVEAL trials of TSHA-102, may not be indicative of results in future clinical trials, or provide support for the submission of a marketing application.
Success in preclinical testing and early clinical trials does not ensure that later clinical trials will generate the same results or otherwise provide adequate data to demonstrate the efficacy and safety of a product candidate. Preclinical tests and Phase 1 and Phase 2 clinical trials are primarily designed to test safety, to study pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics and to understand the side effects of product candidates at various doses and schedules. Success in preclinical or animal studies and early clinical trials does not ensure that later large-scale efficacy trials will be successful nor does it predict final results. For example, we may be unable to identify suitable animal disease models for our product candidates, which could delay or frustrate our ability to proceed into clinical
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trials or obtain marketing approval. Our product candidates, including TSHA-102, may fail to show the desired safety and efficacy in clinical development despite positive results in preclinical studies or having successfully advanced through initial clinical trials. Any such outcome would cause us to cease development of TSHA-102, which is currently our only product candidate in clinical development. Our Phase 1/2 clinical trials of TSHA-102 involve small patient populations and duration of treatment has been relatively short. Because of the small sample sizes, the results of these trials may not be indicative of results of future clinical trials. Further, although other gene therapy clinical trials conducted by others also utilized AAV9 vectors, these trials should not be relied upon as evidence that our planned clinical trials will succeed.
Many companies in the pharmaceutical and biotechnology industries have suffered significant setbacks in late-stage clinical trials even after achieving promising results in preclinical testing and earlier-stage clinical trials. Data obtained from preclinical and clinical activities are subjurisdictions, there haect to varying interpretations, which may delay, limit or prevent regulatory approval. In addition, we may experience regulatory delays or rejections as a result of many factors, including changes in regulatory policy during the period of our product candidate development. Any such delays could negatively impact our business, financial condition, results of operations and prospects.
As an organization, we have never conducted pivotal clinical trials, and may be unable to do so for any product candidates we may develop, including TSHA-102.
We will need to successfully complete our ongoing and planned clinical trials, including pivotal clinical trials, in order to obtain FDA and comparable foreign regulatory approval to market our product candidates. Carrying out later-stage clinical trials and the submission of a successful biologics license application, or BLA, and comparable foreign application is a complicated process. As an organization, we have been, initiated Phase 1/2 clinical trials, have not previously conducted any later stage or pivotal clinical trials, but have limited experience in preparing, submitting and continue to be, severprosecuting regulatory filings and have not previously submitted a BLA or comparable foreign application for any product candidate.
In addition, we have had limited interactions with the FDA and comparable foreign regulatory authorities and cannot be certain how many additional clinical trials of TSHA-102 will be required or how such trials should be designed. Although we have received feedback from the FDA on the design of Part B of our clinical trial of TSHA-102, there is no assurance that our trial design will be sufficient for FDA approval. Consequently, we may be unable to successfully and efficiently execute and complete necessary clinical legistrials in a way that leads to BLA submission or comparable foreign application and approval of TSHA-102. We may require more time and incur greater costs than our competitors and may not succeed in obtaining regulative and regulatory changes and proposed changes regardinory approvals of TSHA-102. Failure to commence or complete, or delays in, our planned clinical trials, could prevent us from or delay us in commercializing TSHA-102.
Risks Related to Legal and Regulatory Compliance Matters
We are subject to legal proceedings and claims from time to time that may seek material damages or otherwise may have a material adverse effect on our business. The costs we incur in defending ourselves or associated with settling any of these proceedings, as well as a material final judgment or decree against us, could materially adversely affect our financial condition.
We are subject to legal proceedings and claims from time to time that may seek material damages or otherwise may have a material adverse effect on our business. For example, in January 2024 and April 2024, we were named a nominal defendant in stockholder derivative lawsuits asserting claims against certain of our current and former directors, among others, in the Court of Chancery of the State of Delaware. These lawsuits, which have since been consolidated, seek, among other relief, a declaration that certain defendants were unjustly enriched, unspecified monetary damages, disgorgement of certain alleged profits received by defendants, and reasonable costs and expenses, including attorneys fees, and other relief. We have not recorded a liability related to these lawsuits because, at this time, we are unable to reasonably estimate possible losses or gains or determine whether an unfavorable outcome is either probable or remote. Our board of directors has formed a special litigation committee to investigate the claims and allegations in the amended complaint, which is ongoing. In connection with an investigation captioned In the Matter of Taysha Gene Therapies, Inc. (D-04192), we and certain of our officers and directors received subpoenas in late 2024 from the SEC for materials relating to our August 2023 PIPE and certain public offerings. The healthcare system that couSEC investigation is neither a determination that the Company or any individuals have violated any law nor a charge of any wrongdoing. See Item 3-Legal Proceedings and Part II, Item 8, Note 13-Commitments and Contingencies in the 2024 Form 10-K for more information and Part I, Item 2, Note 13-Commitments and Contingencies in our First Quarter 2025 Form 10-Q for more information about each of these matters.
Due to the inherent uncertainties in legal proceedings, we cannot accurately predict the duration, scope or ultimate outcome of any such proceedings. This or any future litigation, regardless of the merits of any such proceeding, could harm our reputation and result in substantial costs and diversion of managements attention and resources, which could prevent or delay maradversely impact our business. Although we have directors and officers liability insurance, it provides for a substantial retention of liability and is subject to limitations and may not cover a significant portion, or any, of the expenses or liabilities we may incur or be subject to in connection with these lawsuits or other litigation to which we are party. The costs we incur in defending ourselves or associated with settling such
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proceedings, as well as a material final judgment or decree against us, that are not covered by our directors and officers liability insurance could materially adversely affect our financial condition. In addition, additional lawsuits may be filed, the conclusion of which in a manner adverse to us and for which we incur substantial costs or damages not covered by our directors and officers liability insurance could have a material adverse effect on our financial condition and business.
Healthcare legislative or regulatory reform measures may have a negative impact on our business and results of operations.
In the United States and some foreign jurisdictions, there have been, and continue to be, several legislative and regulatory changes and proposed changes regarding the healthcare system that could prevent or delay marketing approval of product candidates, restrict or regulate post-approval activities, and affect our ability to profitably sell any product candidates for which we obtain marketing approval.
Among policy makers and payors in the United States and elsewhere, there is significant interest in promoting changes in healthcare systems with the stated goals of containing healthcare costs, improving quality and/or expanding access. In the United States, the pharmaceutical industry has been a particular focus of these efforts and has been significantly affected by major legislative initiatives. For example, The Patient Protection and Affordable Care Act, as amended by the Health Care and Education Reconciliation Act, or collectively the ACA, substantially changed the way healthcare is financed by both the government and private insurers, and significantly impacts the U.S. pharmaceutical industry.
There have been judicial, congressional, and executive branch challenges to certain aspects of the ACA, including efforts to repeal or replace certain aspects of the ACA. For example, on August 16, 2022, the Inflation Reduction Act of 2022, or the IRA, was signed into law, which among other things, extends enhanced subsidies for individuals purchasing health insurance coverage in ACA marketplaces through plan year 2025. The IRA also eliminates the donut hole under the Medicare Part D program beginning in 2025 by significantly lowering the beneficiary maximum out-of-pocket cost and creating a new manufacturer discount program. It is possible that the ACA will be subject to judicial or Congressional challenges in the future. It is also unclear how any additional healthcare reform measures of the second Trump administration will impact the ACA and our business.
Other legislative changes have been proposed and adopted since the ACA was enacted. These changes include aggregate reductions to Medicare payments to providers of 2% per fiscal year pursuant to the Budget Control Act of 2011, which began in 2013, and due to subsequent legislative amendments to the statute, will remain in effect until 2032, unless additional congressional action is taken. These laws may result in additional reductions in Medicare and other healthcare funding, which could have an adverse effect on
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customers for our product candidates, if approved, and, accordingly, our financial operations. Additionally, on March 11, 2021, the American Rescue Plan Act of 2021 was signed into law, which eliminates the statutory Medicaid drug rebate cap, currently set at 100% of a drugs average manufacturer price, for single source and innovator multiple source drugs, effective January 1, 2024.
Additionally, there has been heightened governmental scrutiny in the United States of pharmaceutical pricing practices in light of the rising cost of prescription drugs and biologics. Such scrutiny has resulted in several recent Presidential executive orders, congressional inquiries and proposed and enacted federal and state legislation designed to, among other things, bring more transparency to product pricing, review the relationship between pricing and manufacturer patient programs, and reform government program reimbursement methodologies for products. At the federal level, the IRA, among other things, (i) directs Health and Human Services, or HHS, to negotiate the price of certain high-expenditure, single-source biologics that have been on the market for at least 11 years covered under Medicare, or the Medicare Drug Price Negotiation Program, and subject drug manufacturers to civil monetary penalties and a potential excise tax by offering a price that is not equal to or less than the negotiated maximum fair price for such drugs and biologics under the law, and (ii) imposes rebates with respect to certain drugs and biologics covered under Medicare Part B or Medicare Part D to penalize price increases that outpace inflation. The IRA permits HHS to implement many of these provisions through guidance, as opposed to regulation, for the initial years. These provisions began to take effect progressively starting in fiscal year 2023. On August 15, 2024, HHS announced the agreed-upon price of the first ten drugs that were subject to price negotiations, although the Medicare Drug Price Negotiation Program is currently subject to legal challenges. On January 17, 2025, HHS selected fifteen additional products covered under Part D for price negotiation in 2025. Each year thereafter more Part B and Part D products will become subject to the Medicare Drug Price Negotiation Program. Further, on December 7, 2023, an initiative to control the price of prescription drugs through the use of march-in rights under the Bayh-Dole Act was announced. On December 8, 2023, the National Institute of Standards and Technology published for comment a Draft Interagency Guidance Framework for Considering the Exercise of March-In Rights which for the first time includes the price of a product as one factor an agency can use when deciding to exercise march-in rights. While march-in rights have not previously been exercised, it is uncertain if that will continue under the new framework. At the state level, legislatures have increasingly passed legislation and implemented regulations designed to control pharmaceutical and biological product pricing, including price or patient reimbursement constraints, discounts, restrictions on certain product access and marketing cost disclosure and transparency measures, and, in some cases, designed to encourage importation from other countries and bulk purchasing.
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We expect that these and other healthcare reform measures that may be adopted in the future may result in more rigorous coverage criteria and in additional downward pressure on the price that we receive for any approved drug. Any reduction in reimbursement from Medicare or other government programs may result in a similar reduction in payments from private payors. The implementation of cost containment measures or other healthcare reforms may prevent us from being able to generate revenue, attain profitability, or commercialize our drugs. The current Trump administration is pursuing policies to reduce regulations and expenditures across government including at HHS, the FDA, Centers for Medicare Medicaid Services and related agencies. These actions, presently directed by executive orders or memoranda from the Office of Management and Budget, may propose policy changes that create additional uncertainty for our business. These actions include, for example, directives to reduce agency workforce, program cuts, rescinding a Biden administration executive order tasking the Center for Medicare Medicaid Innovation to consider new payment and healthcare models to limit drug spending and eliminating the Biden administrations executive order that directed HHS to establishing an AI task force and developing a strategic plan, directing HHS to lower prescription drug costs for Medicare through a variety of initiatives, including by improving upon the Medicare Drug Price Negotiation Program, and directing certain federal agencies to enforce existing law regarding hospital and plan price transparency and by standardizing prices across hospitals and health plans. Additionally, in its June 2024 decision in Loper Bright Enterprises v. Raimondo, the U.S. Supreme Court overturned the longstanding Chevron doctrine, under which courts were required to give deference to regulatory agencies reasonable interpretations of ambiguous federal statutes. The Loper Bright decision could result in additional legal challenges to current regulations and guidance issued by federal agencies applicable to our operations, including those issued by the FDA.
In addition, FDA and comparable foreign regulatory regulations and guidance may be revised or reinterpreted by the FDA or the comparable foreign regulatory in ways that may significantly affect our business and our products. Any new regulations or guidance, or revisions or reinterpretations of existing regulations or guidance, may impose additional costs or lengthen FDA review times for TSHA-102 or any future product candidates. We cannot determine how changes in regulations, statutes, policies, or interpretations when and if issued, enacted or adopted, may affect our business in the future. Such changes could, among other things, require:
additional clinical trials to be conducted prior to obtaining approval;
changes to manufacturing methods;
recalls, replacements, or discontinuance of one or more of our products; and
additional recordkeeping.
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For instance, the regulatory landscape related to clinical trials in the European Union recently evolved. The EU Clinical Trials Regulation, or CTR, which was adopted in April 2014 and repeals the EU Clinical Trials Directive, became applicable on January 31, 2022. The CTR allows sponsors to make a single submission to both the competent authority and an ethics committee in each EU Member State, leading to a single decision for each EU Member State. The assessment procedure for the authorization of clinical trials has been harmonized as well, including a joint assessment by all EU Member States concerned, and a separate assessment by each EU Member State with respect to specific requirements related to its own territory, including ethics rules. Each EU Member States decision is communicated to the sponsor via the centralized EU portal. Once the clinical trial is approved, clinical study development may proceed. The CTR foresees a three-year transition period. The extent to which ongoing and new clinical trials will be governed by the CTR varies. For clinical trials in relation to which application for approval was made on the basis of the Clinical Trials Directive before January 31, 2023, the Clinical Trials Directive continued to apply on a transitional basis until January 31, 2025, by which date all ongoing trials under the Clinical Trials Directive became subject to the provisions of the CTR and all new trials since January 31, 2023 have been subject to the CTR. Compliance with the CTR requirements by us and our third-party service providers, such as CROs, may impact our developments plans.
In addition, on April 26, 2023, the European Commission adopted a proposal for a new Directive and Regulation to revise the existing pharmaceutical legislation. The proposed revisions remain to be agreed and adopted by the European Council. Moreover, on December 1, 2024, a new European Commission took office. The proposal could, therefore, still be subject to revisions. If adopted in the form proposed, the recent European Commission proposals to revise the existing EU laws governing authorization of medicinal products may result in a decrease in data and market exclusivity opportunities for our product candidates in the European Union and make them open to generic or biosimilar competition earlier than is currently the case with a related reduction in reimbursement status.
If we are slow or unable to adapt to changes in existing requirements or the adoption of new requirements or policies, our development plans may be impacted.
Such changes would likely require substantial time and impose significant costs, or could reduce the potential commercial value of TSHA-102 or other product candidates, and could materially harm our business and our financial results. In addition, delays
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in receipt of or failure to receive regulatory clearances or approvals for any other products would harm our business, financial condition, and results of operations.